Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000973 0.001047 0.001125 0.001215 0.001315 0.001423 0.001549
2025-12-14 0.000860 0.000959 0.001069 0.001201 0.001356 0.001536 0.001761
2025-12-21 0.000779 0.000888 0.001015 0.001173 0.001368 0.001602 0.001911
2025-12-28 0.000695 0.000806 0.000937 0.001105 0.001318 0.001584 0.001949
2026-01-04 0.000638 0.000750 0.000885 0.001063 0.001294 0.001590 0.002011
2026-01-11 0.000602 0.000717 0.000858 0.001048 0.001301 0.001635 0.002127
2026-01-18 0.000575 0.000693 0.000841 0.001042 0.001318 0.001693 0.002264
2026-01-25 0.000626 0.000770 0.000956 0.001220 0.001597 0.002139 0.003019
2026-02-01 0.000586 0.000727 0.000910 0.001174 0.001558 0.002120 0.003060
2026-02-08 0.000554 0.000693 0.000875 0.001141 0.001534 0.002122 0.003132
2026-02-15 0.000532 0.000670 0.000854 0.001126 0.001536 0.002163 0.003271
2026-02-22 0.000510 0.000647 0.000832 0.001108 0.001531 0.002190 0.003390
2026-03-01 0.000483 0.000619 0.000803 0.001083 0.001521 0.002222 0.003542
2026-03-08 0.000463 0.000597 0.000784 0.001072 0.001532 0.002289 0.003772
2026-03-15 0.000440 0.000573 0.000758 0.001048 0.001521 0.002317 0.003933
2026-03-22 0.000410 0.000535 0.000711 0.000990 0.001448 0.002231 0.003851
2026-03-29 0.000387 0.000508 0.000680 0.000954 0.001409 0.002201 0.003880
2026-04-05 0.000373 0.000493 0.000664 0.000941 0.001409 0.002241 0.004063
2026-04-12 0.000362 0.000481 0.000654 0.000936 0.001422 0.002306 0.004315
2026-04-19 0.000391 0.000530 0.000736 0.001089 0.001727 0.002978 0.006168
2026-04-26 0.000372 0.000505 0.000706 0.001049 0.001678 0.002927 0.006183
2026-05-03 0.000356 0.000486 0.000682 0.001021 0.001647 0.002912 0.006296
2026-05-10 0.000345 0.000474 0.000668 0.001008 0.001646 0.002960 0.006598